Every hour the straddle radar recalculates how big a move the market is pricing into an earnings report and how often it has been wrong before. The team journals show every sold put and every wheel cycle: premium, collateral, annualized return and outcome.
Before every quarterly earnings report the options market puts a price on the expected move. The radar shows where that price is too low.
You buy a call and a put at the same strike shortly before the report. If the stock then moves further than the market priced in, in either direction, the trade is profitable. If the move turns out to be small, you lose part of the premium.
For each report the radar takes the at-the-money straddle and calculates the premium, the lower and upper breakevens, the expected move and the 30-day implied volatility. A payoff curve is drawn alongside.
Want it cheaper, but with wider boundaries? Pick different strikes and the radar recalculates the same picture for a strangle.
How the stock behaved after its last eight earnings reports and what the average absolute move was. The radar’s main question: is the market pricing in more or less than what usually happens?
The chance of making money and the expected result of the trade are calculated twice: from the volatility of the options themselves and by replaying past earnings reactions. When the two estimates diverge, that is a reason to take a closer look.
Green, yellow or red. The verdict comes from three questions: is the average past move larger than the one expected now, how often did past reactions exceed the current expectation, and how much do entry and exit cost because of the spread. If the history holds fewer than four reports, the verdict does not rise above yellow.
Before each report the radar saves a snapshot of the setup, and afterwards it grades itself: what the actual move was, whether it exceeded the expected one and what the result was at the close. The whole history is visible, misses included.
Keep only the interesting or borderline setups, only your own stocks, only reports before the market opens or after it closes. You can also search by ticker and pick a specific day.
Not textbook theory but records of the founder’s real trades. The journals are filled in automatically from the trade history.
For each contract you can see the premium received, the amount of collateral, how many days the trade was open, the annualized return on collateral and the status: open, closed, expired or assigned.
A summary above the journal: the share of profitable trades, the overall result and the total premium collected. It shows whether the strategy works over the long run, not just in one lucky trade.
If a put is assigned, the journal shows how many shares were received and at what cost basis, with the premium taken into account. That is not the end of the trade but the start of the next stage.
The wheel journal follows a lot of shares through the whole cycle: the sold put, the assignment, covered calls on the shares received and the finish, when the shares are called away or sold manually.
Every call sold on the shares received is tied to its own lot. The cycle result shows the result on the stock itself and all the premium collected as separate figures.
Earnings straddles from the founder’s portfolio: which setups the team actually took and how they ended. It is handy to read next to the radar’s track record.
Figures in the illustrations are examples that show how the tool looks, not anyone’s real account.
A short look at the logic of the strategies the team uses with its own money.
A bet on the size of the move, not on its direction. It works when the market has underestimated the reaction to the report.
You receive a premium for being willing to buy a stock below the market price. Either you keep the premium, or you buy a stock you wanted anyway.
The next step after selling puts: once you have the shares, you sell covered calls on them until the stock is called away. Then the cycle starts again.
Options trades from your Interactive Brokers statement go into My portfolio together with your stocks.
The radar relies on the earnings calendar: every day it picks up the companies that report within the next two weeks.
Options magnify both profit and loss. A bought straddle can lose its entire premium, and a sold put obliges you to buy the stock even after a sharp fall.
The options tools are part of the top plan. The team portfolio with its positions is available from a lower plan.
Compare plansWhat they do and what they do not do
For every company that reports within the next 14 days and has options, the radar calculates the straddle premium, the breakevens, the expected move and the implied volatility. It then compares this with eight past earnings reactions and gives a verdict: green, yellow or red.
The journals show the team’s trades: they are filled in automatically from the trade history of the founder’s portfolio. Your own options trades are tracked in My portfolio, where options are a separate asset class.
No. The radar does not replace your broker’s trading terminal: it calculates ready-made earnings setups and shows how the market priced them in the past. You place the trades themselves with your own broker.
Verdicts are recalculated every hour. New reports reach the radar as their date approaches, up to 25 companies a day.
Options are more complex than stocks, and they are not the place to start. The journals are useful as study material: you can see what the strategies look like in real trades. You can go through the basics with the AI analyst, and trade only once you understand the risks.
No. The radar’s verdict is a quantitative assessment of a setup, and the journals are a record of the team’s trades. Neither is investment advice.
Each tool works on its own, and together they cover the whole investor journey
Create an account for free, and add the radar and the team journals with the Infinite plan.
InvestHub is not an investment adviser and gives no personal investment recommendations. The materials and tools on the platform are for information only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.